A crise financeira de 2008
- São Paulo : Editora 34, jan./mar. 2009
In developing countries there is a tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. It has two structural causes: the Dutch disease and the attraction that higher profit and interest rates usually prevailing in developing countries exert on foreign capitals, and four policy causes: the growth with foreign savings policy, the control of inflation to exchange rate anchors, the capital deepening policy, and exchange rate populism. Either the country neutralizes this tendency and grows fast, or does not and will suffer cyclical balance of payment crises
In developing countries there is a tendency to the overvaluation of the exchange rate. It has two structural causes: the Dutch disease and the attraction that higher profit and interest rates usually prevailing in developing countries exert on foreign capitals, and four policy causes: the growth with foreign savings policy, the control of inflation to exchange rate anchors, the capital deepening policy, and exchange rate populism. Either the country neutralizes this tendency and grows fast, or does not and will suffer cyclical balance of payment crises