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Capabilities, Perception, and Escalation (Record no. 21341)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01680naa a2200181uu 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 7010815500121
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OSt
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20220608172202.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 070108s2007 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA)
Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] PHL2MARC21 1.1
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name MESQUITA, Bruce Bueno de
9 (RLIN) 7148
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Capabilities, Perception, and Escalation
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. New York, NY :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Cambridge University Press,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. March 1997
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. The evolution of crises depends upon interpreting intentions under uncertainty. We model crises as a game of two-sided incomplete information. Players are uncertain about their own payoffs from war because of differences between observable and actual capabilities. We derive four hypotheses, testing them against crises in Europe between 1815 and 1970. We show a nonmonotonic relationship between ex ant observable capabilities and the likelihood of violence in a crisis, as well as the ex ante likelihood of a negotiated settlement. We answer five questions: (1) How do differences in observable capabilities between rivals influence the likelihood of a crisis and the escalation to violence? (2) How do intangible capabilities alter the effects of observable capabilities on the likelihood of conflict and violence? (3) What do national leaders learn from the responses of their adversaries in crises? (4) Under what conditions can deterrence succeed? (5) Under what conditions are the strong likely to give in to the weak or vice versa in a crisis?
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
9 (RLIN) 19697
Personal name Morrow, James D.
773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title American Political Science Review
Related parts 91, 1, p. 15-27
Place, publisher, and date of publication New York, NY : Cambridge University Press, March 1997
International Standard Serial Number ISSN 0003-0554
Record control number
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Periódico
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
-- 20070108
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 1550^b
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) Natália

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