Cycles in american national electoral politics, 1854-2006 : (Record no. 27474)
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control field | 8091216415910 |
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control field | OSt |
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
control field | 20190211164230.0 |
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
fixed length control field | 080912s2008 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d |
999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA) | |
Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] | PHL2MARC21 1.1 |
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | MERRIL III, Samuel |
9 (RLIN) | 35518 |
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
Title | Cycles in american national electoral politics, 1854-2006 : |
Remainder of title | statistical evidence and an explanatory model |
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
Place of publication, distribution, etc. | New York, NY : |
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Cambridge University Press, |
Date of publication, distribution, etc. | February 2008 |
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
Summary, etc. | Are there cycles in American politics? In particular, does the proportion of the Democratic/Republican vote share for president and/or seat share in Congress rise and fall over extended periods of time? If so, are the cycles regular, and what are the cycling periods? Moreover, if there are regular cycles, can we construct an integrated modelsuch as a negative feedback loopthat identifies political forces that could generate the observed patterns? First, we use spectral analysis to test for the presence and length of cycles, and show that regular cycles do, in fact, existwith periods that conform to those predicted by the Schlesingersfor swings between liberalism and conservatismbut with durations much shorter than those most commonly claimed by Burnham and others in characterizing American political realignments. Second, we offer a voterparty interaction model that depends on the tensions between parties' policy and office motivations and between voters' tendency to sustain incumbents while reacting against extreme policies. We find a plausible fit between the regular cycling that this model projects and the time series of two-party politics in America over the past century and a half |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | GROFMAN, Bernard |
9 (RLIN) | 35519 |
700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
Personal name | BRUNELL, Thomas L |
9 (RLIN) | 29722 |
773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
Title | American Political Science Review |
Related parts | 102, 1, p. 1-18 |
Place, publisher, and date of publication | New York, NY : Cambridge University Press, February 2008 |
International Standard Serial Number | ISSN 00030554 |
Record control number | |
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
Koha item type | Periódico |
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
-- | 20080912 |
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1641^b |
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Tiago |
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
-- | 20081113 |
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1023^b |
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Zailton |
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