The Effect of underforecasting on the accuracy of revenue forecasts by State Governments (Record no. 29163)
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| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | OSt |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20190211164938.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
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| 999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA) | |
| Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] | PHL2MARC21 1.1 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | RODGERS, Robert |
| 9 (RLIN) | 9101 |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | The Effect of underforecasting on the accuracy of revenue forecasts by State Governments |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Malden, MA : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | Blackwell Publishers, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | jan./feb. 1996 |
| 520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | Do state budget officials regularly underforecast revenue collections, and, if so, why? Analysis of 336 forecast errors for the 50 states from fiscal year 1975 through fiscal year 1992 indicated that the revenues collected by the states have been, on average, 2.1 percent more than the revenues that were forecasted. During recessions, revenue forecasts were much more accurate than during economic expansions. The average forecast error during recessions was near zero, while the average forecast error during economic expansions was quite large. Interviews with state budget officials suggested to the authors that the reason why the forecasts of revenues have been so accurate during economic downturns and so inaccurate during periods of economic prosperity is because states routinely underforecast revenues |
| 590 ## - LOCAL NOTE (RLIN) | |
| Local note | public administration review par |
| 590 ## - LOCAL NOTE (RLIN) | |
| Local note | january/february 1996 |
| 590 ## - LOCAL NOTE (RLIN) | |
| Local note | volume 56 numero 1 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | JOYCE, Philip |
| 9 (RLIN) | 36978 |
| 773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
| Title | Public administration review : PAR |
| Related parts | 56, 1, p. 48-56 |
| Place, publisher, and date of publication | Malden, MA : Blackwell Publishers, jan./feb. 1996 |
| International Standard Serial Number | ISSN 00333352 |
| Record control number | |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | Periódico |
| 998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
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| Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1603^b |
| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Tiago |
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