A mathematical model of the risk nuclear terrorism (Record no. 34904)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
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| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 0070216261037 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | OSt |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20190211173409.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 100702s2006 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d |
| 999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA) | |
| Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] | PHL2MARC21 1.1 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | BUNN, Matthew |
| 9 (RLIN) | 41527 |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | A mathematical model of the risk nuclear terrorism |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Thousand Oaks : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | SAGE, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | September 2006 |
| 520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | This article presents a mathematical model for measuring the global risk of nuclear theft and terrorism. One plausible set of parameter values used in a numerical example suggests a 29 percent probability of a nuclear terrorist attack in the next decade. The expected loss over that period would be $1.17 trillion (undiscounted), or more than $100 billion per year. Historical and other evidence is used to explore the likely values of several of the key parameters, and policy options for reducing the risk are briefly assessed. The uncertainties in estimating the risk of nuclear terrorism are very large, but even a risk dramatically smaller than that estimated in the numerical example used in this article would justify a broad range of actions to reduce the threat. |
| 773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
| Title | The Annals of The American Academy of Political and Social Science |
| Related parts | 607, p. 103-120 |
| Place, publisher, and date of publication | Thousand Oaks : SAGE, September 2006 |
| International Standard Serial Number | ISSN 00027162 |
| Record control number | |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | Periódico |
| 998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
| -- | 20100702 |
| Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1626^b |
| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Daiane |
| 998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
| -- | 20100706 |
| Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1139^b |
| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Carolina |
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