Tourism demand modelling and forecasting with artificial neural network models : (Record no. 51848)
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| 000 -LEADER | |
|---|---|
| fixed length control field | 01857naa a2200205uu 4500 |
| 001 - CONTROL NUMBER | |
| control field | 7081011185149 |
| 003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER | |
| control field | OSt |
| 005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION | |
| control field | 20190211181906.0 |
| 008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION | |
| fixed length control field | 170810s2016 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d |
| 999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA) | |
| Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] | PHL2MARC21 1.1 |
| 041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE | |
| Language code of text/sound track or separate title | eng |
| 100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | CONSTANTINO, H. A. |
| 9 (RLIN) | 55503 |
| 245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT | |
| Title | Tourism demand modelling and forecasting with artificial neural network models : |
| Remainder of title | The Mozambique case study |
| 260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. | |
| Place of publication, distribution, etc. | Barcelos : |
| Name of publisher, distributor, etc. | IPCA, |
| Date of publication, distribution, etc. | jul./dez. 2016 |
| 520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC. | |
| Summary, etc. | This study is aimed to model and forecast the tourism demand for Mozambique for the period from January 2004 to December 2013 using artificial neural networks models. The number of overnight stays in Hotels was used as representative of the tourism demand. A set of independent variables were experimented in the input of the model, namely: Consumer Price Index, Gross Domestic Product and Exchange Rates, of the outbound tourism markets, South Africa, United State of America, Mozambique, Portugal and the United Kingdom. The best model achieved has 6.5% for Mean Absolute Percentage Error and 0.696 for Pearson correlation coefficient. A model like this with high accuracy of forecast is important for the economic agents to know the future growth of this activity sector, as it is important for stakeholders to provide products, services and infrastructures and for the hotels establishments to adequate its level of capacity to the tourism demand |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | FERNANDES, P. O. |
| 9 (RLIN) | 55504 |
| 700 1# - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME | |
| Personal name | TEIXEIRA, J. P. |
| 9 (RLIN) | 55505 |
| 773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY | |
| Title | Tékhne-Revista de Estudos Politécnicos = Polytechnical Studies Review |
| Related parts | 14, 2, p. 113-124 |
| Place, publisher, and date of publication | Barcelos : IPCA, jul./dez. 2016 |
| International Standard Serial Number | ISSN 16459911 |
| Record control number | |
| 856 42 - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS | |
| Uniform Resource Identifier | http://ac.els-cdn.com/S164599111630010X/1-s2.0-S164599111630010X-main.pdf?_tid=c5b44968-7dd6-11e7-8bbb-00000aacb360&acdnat=1502374885_727858073d553a098ca2c7dc4f6bc130 |
| Link text | Acesso |
| 942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA) | |
| Koha item type | Periódico |
| 998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN) | |
| -- | 20170810 |
| Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) | 1118^b |
| Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) | Larissa |
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