A mágica do dr. Gustavo Franco, revisitada
By: ALMONACID, Ruben Dario
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ArticlePublisher: São Paulo : Editora 34, abr./jun. 1998Revista de Economia Política = Brazilian Journal of Political Economy 18, 2, p. 90-106Abstract: dynamic path which implied a) a strong appreciation of the real exchange rate, generating a significant deterioration of the Trade and Current Accounts and b) a heavy use of foreign loans requiring the maintenance of very high interest rates to attract new capital, in order to finance these deficits. Given the numbers involved in the Brazilian experiment, this path is not sustainable in the long run, since the foreign debt grows explosively, implying that, sooner or later, it will need to be corrected. This paper presents some simulations showing some restrictions that an equilibrium path must satisfy
dynamic path which implied a) a strong appreciation of the real exchange rate, generating a significant deterioration of the Trade and Current Accounts and b) a heavy use of foreign loans requiring the maintenance of very high interest rates to attract new capital, in order to finance these deficits. Given the numbers involved in the Brazilian experiment, this path is not sustainable in the long run, since the foreign debt grows explosively, implying that, sooner or later, it will need to be corrected. This paper presents some simulations showing some restrictions that an equilibrium path must satisfy
Revista de Editora Política 1998
v. 18, n 2(70)
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