YIP, Paul S. F <br/><br/>
The effects of migration of the population distribution in Hong Kong 

 -  jun.2000 
<br/><br/> In this article a component method is used to examine the effect of migration on population projection is Hong Kong. We assume no migration and use the reported fertility and mortality patterns to simulate the population distribution for the period 1998-2016. It is shown that the ageing phenomenon would be serious if there was no migration. In 1996, the elderly dependency ratio would have been 153 per 1,000 population aged between 15 and 64, as compared with 141 as observed. Similarly, the elderly dependency ration in 2016 would be 216 as projected instead of 184 estimated on the basis of existing immigration policy. The meian age was estimated to be 45 years of age. Possible effects of ageing are discussed