MOLINARI, M. Christina <br/><br/>
Military capabilities and escalation :  a correction to Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick 

 -  2000 
<br/><br/> Bueno de Mesquita , Morrow, and Zorick analyze the evolution of crises as a two-sided incomplete information game in order to illuminate the relationship between observable  military capabilities  and the escalation of a dispute to armed conflict. I show that an error in the derivation of the equilibria invalidates their conclusions, and I offer a few suggestions on how to model the evolution of crises as incomplete information games