The signal and the noise : why so many predictions fail - but some don't /
Nate Silver. --
- New York: Penguin Press, 2015.
- 536 p.
Inclui índice
1. A catastrophic failure of prediction 2. Are you smarter than a television pundit? 3. All I core about is w's and l's 4. For years you've been telling us that rain is green 5. Desperately seeking signal 6. How to drown in three feet of water 7. Role models 8. Less and less and less wrong 9. Rage against the machines 10. The poker bubble 11. If you can't beat'em 12. A climate of healthy skepticism 13. What you don't know can hurt you
9780143125082
Forecasting Forecasting--Methodology Forecasting--History Bayesian statistical decision theory Knowledge, Theory of TEORIA DA DECISÃO