COWDEN, Jonathan A

Southernization of the Nation and Nationalization of the South : racial conservatism, social welfare and white partisans in the United States, 1956-92 - 2001

Many scholars and pundits believe that the 1964 presidential election between Barry Goldwater and Lyndon Johnson disrupted the New Deal order and ushered in a sixth party system anchored in part by race issues. But curiously, the conventional wisdom has not fared well empirically. In this article, I employ disaggregated survey data and novel methodological tools to identify temporal patterns in the relationships between partisanship. New Deal issues and race issues. My conclusions are as follows: (1)the association between race issues and partisanship has switched signs in the South;(2) a racial axis of cleavage has opened up outside the South; (3) the New Deal issue axis has grown in the South; and (4) New Deal issues continue to cleave partisans outside the South