000			01297naa a2200193uu 4500
001			10497
003			OSt
005			20190211155053.0
008			030127s2005 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100	1		_aYIP, Paul S. F _911529
245	1	0	_aThe effects of migration of the population distribution in Hong Kong
260			_cjun.2000
520	3		_aIn this article a component method is used to examine the effect of migration on population projection is Hong Kong. We assume no migration and use the reported fertility and mortality patterns to simulate the population distribution for the period 1998-2016. It is shown that the ageing phenomenon would be serious if there was no migration. In 1996, the elderly dependency ratio would have been 153 per 1,000 population aged between 15 and 64, as compared with 141 as observed. Similarly, the elderly dependency ration in 2016 would be 216 as projected instead of 184 estimated on the basis of existing immigration policy. The meian age was estimated to be 45 years of age. Possible effects of ageing are discussed
700	1		_aLEE, Joseph _919566
773	0	8	_tThe Asian Journal of Public Administration _g22, 1, p. 90-104 _d, jun.2000 _w
942			_cS
998			_a20030127 _bLucima _cLucimara
998			_a20060720 _b1112^b _cQuiteria
999			_aConvertido do Formato PHL _bPHL2MARC21 1.1 _c10623 _d10623
041			_aeng