000 02108naa a2200169uu 4500
001 5100415160517
003 OSt
005 20190211160158.0
008 051004s2005 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100 1 _aCLARKE, Harold D.; KORNBERG, Allan; STEWART, Marianne C
_921968
245 1 0 _aReferendum Voting as Political Choice :
_bthe case of Quebec
260 _aCambridge :
_bCambridge University Press,
_cApril 2004
520 3 _aIn an article published in this journal, Nadeau, Martin and Blais argiue that perceptions of the costs and benefits of alternative outcomes and general orientations to risk interact to affect voters' decisions in referendums on fundamental political questions such as Quebec sovereignty. We use Nadeau et al.'s data to demonstrate that their interaction-effects mdel is overly complex and suffers from serious multicollinearity difficulties. A simpler main-effects model has virtually identical explanatory power and removes anomalous findings. We also argue that their model is too simple because it omits variables such as party identification, feelings about party leaders and government performance evaluations that voters use as heuristic devices to help them make decisions when stakes are high and information about the costs and benefits of referendum outcomes is low. We analyse a dataset that includes these variables and demonstrate that they have strong effects in a model of referendum voting that controls for perceived costs and benefits of alternative referendum outcomes and several other variables. Additionally, differences in the magnitudes of the perceived costs and perceived benefits of alternative referendum outcomes are not statistically significant. Tjis latter finding contradicts widely cited experimental results in behavioral economics and related 'asmmetry' hypotheses concerning the presumed status quo bias in major referendums
773 0 8 _tBritish Journal of Political Science
_g34, 2, p. 345-355
_dCambridge : Cambridge University Press, April 2004
_xISSN 0007-1234
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20051004
_b1516^b
_cAnaluiza
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c13733
_d13733
041 _aeng