000			01568naa a2200169uu 4500
001			5110917331117
003			OSt
005			20190211160222.0
008			051109s2005 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100	1		_aMARSH, Michael _919690
245	1	0	_aTesting the Second-Order Election Model after Four European Elections
260			_aCambridge : _bCambridge University Press, _cOctober 1998
520	3		_aReif and Schmitt argued that elections to the European Parliament should be understood as second-order national elections, and advanced several predictions about the results of such elections. Those concerning the impact of government status, party size, party character and the national election cycle on electoral performance are examined here using data on four sets of European Parliament elections. In addition, the consequences of European Parliament elections for the next national election are explored. The analysis demonstrates the validity of most of Reif an Shmitt's original propositions, and futher refines their analysis of the relationship between European and subsequent national elections. However, all propositions hold much more effectively in countries where alternation in government is the norm, suggesting that the distinction between first-order and second-order elections may not be so clear cut as Reif and Schmitt imagined
773	0	8	_tBritish Journal of Political Science _g28, 4, p. 591-607 _dCambridge : Cambridge University Press, October 1998 _xISSN 0007-1234 _w
942			_cS
998			_a20051109 _b1733^b _cAnaluiza
999			_aConvertido do Formato PHL _bPHL2MARC21 1.1 _c14036 _d14036
041			_aeng