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100 1 _aROBERTS, Kenneth M.
_929609
245 1 0 _aParty Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America :
_bA Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations
260 _aNew York, NY :
_bCambridge University Press,
_cSeptember 1999
520 3 _aThree different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary Latin America: economic voting, institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems, and the structure and organization of class cleavages. A pooled cross-sectional time-series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 Latin American countries during the 1980s and 1990s. Institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility, while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility. The results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short-term economic perturbations, the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems, and relatively fluid cleavage structures.
700 1 _aWIBBELS, Erik
_929610
773 0 8 _tAmerican Political Science Review
_g93, 3, p. 575-590
_dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, September 1999
_xISSN 0003-0554
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20070103
_b1546^b
_cNatália
998 _a20070105
_b1727^b
_cNatália
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c21152
_d21152
041 _aeng