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100 1 _aNAGEL, Jack H.
_922393
245 1 0 _aPartisan effects of voter turnout in senatorial and gubernatorial elections
260 _aNew York, NY :
_bCambridge University Press,
_cDecember 1996
520 3 _aConventional wisdom holds that higher turnout favors Democrats. Previous studies of this hypothesis rely on presidential and House elections or on survey data, but senatorial and gobernatorial elections offer better conditions for directly testing turnout effects in U.S. politics. In a comprehensive analysis of these statewide elections since 1928, we find that the conventional theory was true outside the South through 1964, but since 1965 the overall relationship between turnout and partisan outcomes has been insignificant. Even before the mind-1960s, the turnout effect outside the South was strongest in Republican states and insignificant or negative in heavily Democratic states. A similar but waker pattern obtains after 1964. In the South, wich we analyze only size 1966, higher turnout helped Republicans until 1990, but in 1990-94 the effect became pro-Democratic. The conventional theory cannot account for these complex patterns, but they are impressively consistent with DeNardo´s (1980) theory
700 1 _aMCNULTY, John E
_923341
773 0 8 _tAmerican Political Science Review
_g90, 4, p. 780-793
_dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, December 1996
_xISSN 0003-0554
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20070116
_b1712^b
_cTiago
998 _a20070116
_b1758^b
_cTiago
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c21860
_d21860
041 _aeng