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100 1 _aBAINES, Adam C
_932070
245 1 0 _aCapital mobility, perspectives and central bank independence :
_bexchange rate policy since 1945
260 _aDordrecht, Netherlands :
_bSpringer,
_cJune 2001
520 3 _aHegemonic stability theory has been the traditional explanation in International Political Economy for the trend from fixed to floating exchange rates which was brought about by the collapse of Bretton Woods. This approach is found to be problematic. A more powerful explanation is the postwar rise in capital mobility, which produces a trade-off between exchange rate stability and policy autonomy. Preferences for these two policies have been a function of perspectives on economic policy and the degree of central bank independence. Independent central banks prefer domestic policy autonomy to exchange rate management, as they have no socio-political incentives to produce competitive, stable exchange rates. Their interests are predominantly in achieving low domestic inflation. In addition, current perspectives hold that the best way of securing international exchange rate stability is to pursue stable macroeconomic policies at home, resulting in the predominance of floating exchange rate policies. This trend will continue into the near future despite opportunities for international cooperation presented by the rationalization of world monetary politics into a G3 following the introduction of the euro. This may have adverse effects on the global economy for three reasons. First, there is a long-term danger that triad regionalization will result in a revival of neo-mercantilist policies, in which the exchange rate could play a part. Second, a high proportion of world trade and finance will be denominated in dollars and euros, rendering the stability of the dollar/euro exchange rate a global public good. Third, dollar/euro exchange rate misalignments which harm either the U.S. or EMU will be harmful to the global economy because of the high percentage of world GDP accounted for by these two areas
773 0 8 _tPolicy Sciences
_g34, 2, p. 171-193
_dDordrecht, Netherlands : Springer, June 2001
_xISSN 0032-2867
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20070530
_b1705^b
_cTiago
998 _a20070604
_b1444^b
_cZailton
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c23724
_d23724
041 _aeng