000			01754naa a2200181uu 4500
001			8091214570310
003			OSt
005			20190211164224.0
008			080912s2008 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100	1		_aSVOLIK, Milan _935505
245	1	0	_aAuthoritarian reversals and democratic consolidation
260			_aNew York, NY : _bCambridge University Press, _cMay 2008
520	3		_aI present a new empirical approach to the study of democratic consolidation. This approach leads to new insights into the determinants of democratic consolidation that cannot be obtained with existing techniques. I distinguish between democracies that survive because they are consolidated and those democracies that are not consolidated but survive because of some favorable circumstances. As a result, I can identify the determinants of two related yet distinct processes: the likelihood that a democracy consolidates, and the timing of authoritarian reversals in democracies that are not consolidated. I find that the level of economic development, type of democratic executive, and type of authoritarian past determine whether a democracy consolidates, but have no effect on the timing of reversals in democracies that are not consolidated. That risk is only associated with economic recessions. I also find that existing studies greatly underestimate the risk of early reversals while simultaneously overestimating the risk of late reversals, and that a large number of existing democracies are in fact consolidated
773	0	8	_tAmerican Political Science Review _g102, 2, p. 153-168 _dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, May 2008 _xISSN 00030554 _w
942			_cS
998			_a20080912 _b1457^b _cTiago
998			_a20081111 _b1507^b _cZailton
999			_aConvertido do Formato PHL _bPHL2MARC21 1.1 _c27464 _d27464
041			_aeng