000			01414naa a2200181uu 4500
001			8091216521510
003			OSt
005			20190211164235.0
008			080912s2008 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100	1		_aBRAUMOELLER, Bear F _935522
245	1	0	_aSystemic politics and the origins of great power conflict
260			_aNew York, NY : _bCambridge University Press, _cFebruary 2008
520	3		_aSystemic theories of international politics rarely predict conflict short of cataclysmic systemic wars, and dyadic theories of conflict lack systemic perspective. This article attempts to bridge the gap by introducing a two-step theory of conflict among Great Powers. In the first stage, states engage in a dynamic, ongoing process of managing the international system, which inevitably produces tensions among them. In the second stage, relative levels of security-related activity determine how and when those tensions erupt into disputes. A test of the theory on Great Power conflicts from the nineteenth century supports the argument and, moreover, favors the deterrence model over the spiral model as a proximate explanation of conflict in the second stage
773	0	8	_tAmerican Political Science Review _g102, 1, p. 77-94 _dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, February 2008 _xISSN 00030554 _w
942			_cS
998			_a20080912 _b1652^b _cTiago
998			_a20081113 _b1025^b _cZailton
999			_aConvertido do Formato PHL _bPHL2MARC21 1.1 _c27479 _d27479
041			_aeng