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001 8091216542110
003 OSt
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008 080912s2008 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100 1 _aGARTNER, Scott Sigmund
_935523
245 1 0 _athe Multiple effects of casualties on public support for war :
_ban experimental approach
260 _aNew York, NY :
_bCambridge University Press,
_cFebruary 2008
520 3 _aPublic support for a conflict is not a blank check. Combat provides information people use to update their expectations about the outcome, direction, value, and cost of a war. Critical are fatalities—the most salient costs of conflict. I develop a rational expectations theory in which both increasing recent casualties and rising casualty trends lead to decreased support. Traditional studies neither recognize nor provide a method for untangling these multiple influences. I conduct six experiments, three on the Iraq War (two with national, representative samples) and three with a new type of panel experiment design on hypothetical military interventions. The results of hazard and ordered logit analyses of almost 3,000 subjects support a rational expectations theory linking recent casualties, casualty trends, and their interaction to wartime approval. I also examine the effects of the probability of victory, information levels, and individual characteristics on the support for war, and contrast results from representative and convenience samples
773 0 8 _tAmerican Political Science Review
_g102, 1, p. 95-106
_dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, February 2008
_xISSN 00030554
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20080912
_b1654^b
_cTiago
998 _a20081113
_b1025^b
_cZailton
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c27480
_d27480
041 _aeng