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008 090127s2009 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100 1 _aBERREBI, Claude
_936039
245 1 0 _aAre voters sensitive to terrorism? :
_bdirect evidence from the israeli electorate
260 _aNew York, NY :
_bCambridge University Press,
_cAugust 2008
520 3 _aThis article relies on the variation of terror attacks across time and space as an instrument to identify the causal effects of terrorism on the preferences of the Israeli electorate. We find that the occurrence of a terror attack in a given locality within three months of the elections causes an increase of 1.35 percentage points on that locality's support for the right bloc of political parties out of the two blocs vote. This effect is of a significant political magnitude because of the high level of terrorism in Israel and the fact that its electorate is closely split between the right and left blocs. Moreover, a terror fatality has important electoral effects beyond the locality where the attack is perpetrated, and its electoral impact is stronger the closer to the elections it occurs. Interestingly, in left-leaning localities, local terror fatalities cause an increase in the support for the right bloc, whereas terror fatalities outside the locality increase the support for the left bloc of parties. Given that a relatively small number of localities suffer terror attacks, we demonstrate that terrorism does cause the ideological polarization of the electorate. Overall, our analysis provides strong empirical support for the hypothesis that the electorate shows a highly sensitive reaction to terrorism
700 1 _aKLOR, Esteban F
_936040
773 0 8 _tAmerican political science review
_g102, 3, p. 279-302
_dNew York, NY : Cambridge University Press, August 2008
_xISSN 00030554
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20090127
_b1336^b
_cTiago
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c28068
_d28068
041 _aeng