000 01677naa a2200193uu 4500
001 9092216224213
003 OSt
005 20190211165505.0
008 090922s2009 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
100 1 _aLUU, Van Troung ...[et al]
_937746
245 1 0 _aQuantifying schedule risk in construction projects using Bayesian belief networks
260 _bElsevier,
_cjan.2009
520 3 _aDelays on construction projects cause financial losses for project stakeholders in developing countries. This paper describes how Bayesian belief network (BBN) is applied to quantify the probability of construction project delays in a developing country. Sixteen factors were identified through a questionnaire survey of 166 professionals. Eighteen cause-effect relationships among these factors were obtained through expert interview survey to develop a belief network model. The validity of the proposed model is tested using two realistic case studies. The findings of the study revealed that financial difficulties of owners and contractors, contractor’s inadequate experience, and shortage of materials are the main causes of delay on construction projects in Vietnam. The results encourage practitioners to benefit from the BBNs. This approach is general and, as such, it may be applied to other construction projects with minor modifications.
590 _aBayesian belief networks; Construction projects; Risk management; Scheduling; Delays; Vietnam
773 0 8 _tInternational Journal of Project Management
_g27, 1, p. 39-50
_dElsevier, jan.2009
_xISSN 02637863
_w
942 _cS
998 _a20090922
_b1622^b
_cmayze
998 _a20090923
_b1119^b
_cCarolina
999 _aConvertido do Formato PHL
_bPHL2MARC21 1.1
_c30106
_d30106
041 _aeng