000 01122cam a2200337 a 4500
999 _c52497
_d52497
003 BR-BrENAP
005 20220203160221.0
008 120703s2012 nyua b 001 0 eng
020 _a9780143125082
040 _aBR-BrENAP
_bPt_BR
041 _aeng
090 _a005.7
_bS5871s
100 1 _aSilver, Nate
245 1 4 _aThe signal and the noise :
_bwhy so many predictions fail - but some don't /
_cNate Silver. --
260 _aNew York:
_bPenguin Press,
_c2015.
300 _a536 p.
504 _aInclui índice
505 _t1. A catastrophic failure of prediction
_t2. Are you smarter than a television pundit?
_t3. All I core about is w's and l's
_t4. For years you've been telling us that rain is green
_t5. Desperately seeking signal
_t6. How to drown in three feet of water
_t7. Role models
_t8. Less and less and less wrong
_t9. Rage against the machines
_t10. The poker bubble
_t11. If you can't beat'em
_t12. A climate of healthy skepticism
_t13. What you don't know can hurt you
650 0 _aForecasting
650 0 _aForecasting
_xMethodology
650 0 _aForecasting
_xHistory
650 0 _aBayesian statistical decision theory
650 0 _aKnowledge, Theory of
650 7 _aTEORIA DA DECISÃO
_2larpcal
909 _a201811
_bVinícius
942 _2ddc
_cG
945 _aL
_bLIVRO
_c01