000			01698naa a2200181uu 4500
001			7234
003			OSt
005			20190211154230.0
008			020925s2005 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
245	1	0	_aThe butterfly did it : _bthe aberrant vote for Buchanan in Palm Beach
260			_bAda W. Finifter, _c2001
520	3		_aWe show that the butterfly ballot used in Palm Beach County, Florida, in the 2000 persidential election caused more thatn 2,000 Democratic voters to vote by mistake for Reform candidate Pat Cuchanan, a number larger than George W. Bush`s certified margin of victory in Florida. We use multiple methods and several kinds of data to rule out alternative explanations for the votes Cuchanan received in Palm Beach County. Among 3,053 U.S. counties where Buchanan was on the ballot, Palm Beach County has the most anomalous excess of votes for him . In pal Beach County, Buchanan`s proportion of the vote on election-day ballots if four times larger thatn his proportion on absentee (nonbutterfly) ballots, but Cuchanan`s proportion does not differ significantly between electon-day and absentee ballots in any other Florida county. Unlike other Reform candidates in Pal Beach County, Buchanan tended to receive election-day votes in Democratic precincts and from individuals who voted for the Democratic U.S. Senate canidate. Robust estimation of overdispersed binominal regression models underpins much of the analysis
773	0	8	_tAmerican Political Science Review _g95, 4, p. 793-810 _dAda W. Finifter, 2001 _w
942			_cS
998			_a20020925 _bCassio _cCassio
998			_a20060512 _b1201^b _cQuiteria
999			_aConvertido do Formato PHL _bPHL2MARC21 1.1 _c7388 _d7388
700			_a
041			_aeng