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Regional econometric forecasting and applications for state revenue projections (Record no. 34175)

000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01391naa a2200181uu 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field 0060812513637
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field OSt
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20190211172617.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 100608s1995 xx ||||gr |0|| 0 eng d
999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA)
Koha Dewey Subclass [OBSOLETE] PHL2MARC21 1.1
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name SHELNUTT, John
9 (RLIN) 41009
245 10 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Regional econometric forecasting and applications for state revenue projections
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Place of publication, distribution, etc. New York :
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Marcel Dekker,
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 1995
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This article presents issues of and uses for state econometric model forecasting, featuring forecasts in the state of Arkansas in support of the state Revenue Stabilization Act. Regional data issues are discussed with reference to forecast accuracy. It is shown that data revision is a significant determinant of overall forecast accuracy. This data revision component of total error is shown to be asymmetric with respect to regional business cycles. Other factors of econometric model construction are discussed with reference to the goal of modeling unique regional growth characteristics. Gross revenue forecasting for the state budget process is shown to be more reliable than random walk forecasts as an independent and conservative forecast input.
773 08 - HOST ITEM ENTRY
Title International Journal of Public Administration - IJPA
Related parts 18, 1, p. 43-57
Place, publisher, and date of publication New York : Marcel Dekker, 1995
International Standard Serial Number ISSN 01900692
Record control number
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Koha item type Periódico
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
-- 20100608
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 1251^b
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) Daiane
998 ## - LOCAL CONTROL INFORMATION (RLIN)
-- 20100723
Operator's initials, OID (RLIN) 1359^b
Cataloger's initials, CIN (RLIN) Daiane

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Escola Nacional de Administração Pública

Escola Nacional de Administração Pública

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