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Military capabilities and escalation : a correction to Bueno de Mesquita, Morrow, and Zorick

By: MOLINARI, M. Christina.
Material type: materialTypeLabelArticlePublisher: 2000American Political Science Review 94, 2, p. 425-428Abstract: Bueno de Mesquita , Morrow, and Zorick analyze the evolution of crises as a two-sided incomplete information game in order to illuminate the relationship between observable military capabilities and the escalation of a dispute to armed conflict. I show that an error in the derivation of the equilibria invalidates their conclusions, and I offer a few suggestions on how to model the evolution of crises as incomplete information games
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Bueno de Mesquita , Morrow, and Zorick analyze the evolution of crises as a two-sided incomplete information game in order to illuminate the relationship between observable military capabilities and the escalation of a dispute to armed conflict. I show that an error in the derivation of the equilibria invalidates their conclusions, and I offer a few suggestions on how to model the evolution of crises as incomplete information games

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